Las Vegan Kyle Busch among best bets for South Point 400

The three-race circular of 12 successful the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs kicks disconnected Sunday astatine Las Vegas Motor Speedway, but immoderate drivers could beryllium amended disconnected treating it arsenic an elimination round.

NASCAR handicapper Micah Roberts, an expert for SportsLine.com, said drivers cognize they request to spell aft the triumph successful Las Vegas, due to the fact that the adjacent halt astatine Talladega invites a batch much luck into the equation with superspeedway-style racing. After that comes the elimination contention astatine Charlotte Motor Speedway.

“The Vegas contention is truthful important,” Roberts (@MicahRoberts7) said. “Talladega, you can’t number connected anything. It’s a chaotic card. Your fate’s not needfully successful your hands due to the fact that you could get into different people’s wrecks.”

Sunday’s South Point 400 volition beryllium won by the squad that makes the close accommodation to the 550-horsepower setup successful Las Vegas aft a drawstring of 750-horsepower tracks, Roberts said.

Roberts said helium views Kyle Larson, Las Vegan Kyle Busch, Denny Hamlin and Brad Keselowski arsenic the apical tier Sunday.

Larson (3-1 astatine the Westgate SuperBook) is the deserving favorite, Roberts said, aft winning the archetypal Las Vegas contention successful March, kicking disconnected a banner play that has included six victories, including past week astatine Bristol Motor Speedway. Kyle Busch is the 2nd prime astatine 7-1 and is besides a apical contender.

“Las Vegas is simply a way wherever operator standing holds up a batch more,” Roberts said. “There’s not a batch of unforeseen wrecks. It’s usually the champions and the champion of the champion that win.”

Larson oregon Busch could easy beryllium successful Victory Lane, but Roberts said helium would look astatine the longer likelihood of Hamlin (8-1) and Keselowski (22-1 astatine Circa Sports). Hamlin has finished 3rd and 4th successful the past 2 races successful Las Vegas, and Keselowski is simply a three-time victor here.

Further down the board, Roberts said helium would look astatine Alex Bowman (22-1 astatine Circa) and Las Vegan Kurt Busch (40-1), who won the South Point 400 past year.

One operator Roberts is crossing disconnected is Kevin Harvick, who is winless this play but is inactive priced little (14-1) than different contenders.

“That’s crazy,” Roberts said. “He can’t win. He doesn’t person the car.”

Contact Jim Barnes astatine jbarnes@reviewjournal.com oregon 702-383-0277. Follow @JimBarnesLV connected Twitter.