NFL betting breakdown: Week 10

BETTING BREAKDOWN

Chip Chirimbes, TheAplay.com, Chipwins.com, pickandparlays.net, VegasInsider.com

Jaguars (2-6) astatine Colts (4-5)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/total: Colts -10, 47½

Analysis: Indianapolis leads the NFL successful takeaways with 20, and Jacksonville has 14 giveaways and the second-worst turnover borderline successful the league astatine minus-9. It looks arsenic if it’s going to beryllium a agelong day for the Jaguars and rookie backmost Trevor Lawrence.

By the numbers: Jacksonville, coming disconnected its 9-6 upset of Buffalo arsenic a 16-point underdog, is 1-4 ATS aft a straight-up triumph and 0-4 ATS aft a cover. … The location squad is 5-1-1 ATS successful the past 7 meetings. … The Colts are 4-0 ATS vs. teams with a losing record.

Pick: Colts 30, Jaguars 19

Browns (5-4) astatine Patriots (5-4)

Time: 10 a.m., KLAS-8

Line/total: Patriots -2½, 45

Analysis: Both teams are successful the mediate of the playoff hunt, and this matchup mightiness person tiebreaker implications. The Patriots are 1-4 astatine home. The Browns are getting the occupation done with the NFL’s No. 3 full defense, allowing conscionable 309.7 yards per game, and the No. 3 rushing defence (84.8 ypga).

By the numbers: Cleveland is 5-1 ATS successful its past six games arsenic a roadworthy underdog. But it’s connected an 11-29-2 dispersed descent against teams with winning records. … The Patriots are 3-9 ATS aft an ATS win.

Pick: Patriots 31, Browns 27

Falcons (4-4) astatine Cowboys (6-2)

Time: 10 a.m., KVVU-5

Line/total: Cowboys -8, 54½

Analysis: With Dallas trailing Denver 30-0 successful the 4th fourth past week, Cowboys backmost Dak Prescott insisted that helium stay successful the crippled due to the fact that helium needed the work. The Falcons couldn’t enactment successful capable enactment to debar the wrath of Dallas this week.

By the numbers: Atlanta is 11-5 ATS successful its past 16 roadworthy games and 1-4 ATS aft a straight-up win. … The Cowboys are connected a 5-1 screen tally astatine location and are 5-0 ATS vs. the NFC.

Pick: Cowboys 41, Falcons 23

Bills (5-3) astatine Jets (2-6)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/total: Bills -12½, 47

Analysis: It volition beryllium a Mike White “Whiteout,” arsenic the Jets faithful volition beryllium retired successful afloat unit for this AFC East matchup. Is thing incorrect with the Bills? They mislaid 9-6 to the lowly Jaguars past week, and their 5 wins person travel against teams with a combined 11-25 record. But playing the Jets seems to cure each ills.

By the numbers: Buffalo is 5-1-1 ATS vs. teams with losing records and 13-5-1 ATS overall. … The Jets are 4-1 ATS arsenic location underdogs but 2-7 ATS successful its past 9 games overall.

Pick: Bills 36, Jets 24

Saints (5-3) astatine Titans (7-2)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/total: Titans -3, 44

Analysis: After taking a Week 1 beatdown by Arizona, the Titans pounded the league for six weeks until NFL rushing person Derrick Henry went down with a imaginable season-ending injury. And then, without Henry past week, Tennessee pounded the Rams successful a 28-16 upset arsenic 7½-point underdogs. But the Saints mightiness astonishment the location squad here.

By the numbers: The Saints are connected an extended 36-17 screen streak arsenic underdogs and are 23-8 ATS successful their past 31 games arsenic roadworthy underdogs. … Tennessee has won and covered its past 5 games. … The roadworthy squad is 4-0 ATS successful the past 4 meetings.

Pick: Saints 27, Titans 23

Buccaneers (6-2) astatine Football Team (2-6)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/total: Buccaneers -9½, 51

Analysis: This could beryllium 1 of those games successful which Tampa Bay goes done the motions, arsenic it has played mediocre connected the road, going 2-2 with an 0-4 ATS record. But thing has to give, arsenic Washington has been atrocious astatine home, going 1-3 and 0-4 ATS.

By the numbers: The underdog is 8-1-2 ATS successful the past 11 meetings. … The Buccaneers, coming disconnected a nonaccomplishment to the Saints earlier their bye, are 5-1 ATS aft a loss. But they’re 0-5 ATS successful their past 5 roadworthy games. … The Football Team is connected an 0-5 dispersed descent arsenic underdogs.

Pick: Buccaneers 27, Football Team 23

Lions (0-8) astatine Steelers (5-3)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/total: Steelers -8, 42½

Analysis: Pittsburgh should screen connected coaching alone, but the Lions volition claw for 60 minutes seeking their archetypal win. The Steelers are moving connected a abbreviated week aft a carnal conflict against the Bears connected “Monday Night Football.” Detroit has had an other week to retrieve from its 44-7 blowout nonaccomplishment to Philadelphia, and it’s 14-6 ATS aft a double-digit location loss.

By the numbers: The Lions are 3-12-1 ATS successful their past 16 games successful November. … Pittsburgh is connected an 0-8 dispersed descent arsenic a favourite and 0-7 ATS arsenic a location favorite.

Pick: Lions 23, Steelers 22

Vikings (3-5) astatine Chargers (5-3)

Time: 1:05 p.m.

Line/total: Chargers -3, 53½

Analysis: The Vikings find much ways to suffer than immoderate different team. The Chargers bushed the crisp wealth successful past week’s triumph astatine Philadelphia. The sharps are connected Los Angeles this week, but the Chargers volition autumn short.

By the numbers: Minnesota is 41-18 ATS aft a straight-up loss, 7-3 ATS arsenic an underdog and has covered the past 4 meetings. But the Vikings are connected a 4-11 dispersed descent overall. … Los Angeles is riding a 9-3 screen streak but is 5-11-1 ATS arsenic a location favorite.

Pick: Vikings 34, Chargers 33

Panthers (4-5) astatine Cardinals (8-1)

Time: 1:05 p.m.

Line/total: Cardinals -10½, 44

Analysis: The Panthers mislaid backmost Sam Darnold, who threw 3 interceptions successful past week’s location nonaccomplishment to the Patriots, to a enarthrosis injury. Even with prima moving backmost Christian McCaffrey backmost for Carolina, the Panthers’ defence can’t flooded their violative shortcomings.

By the numbers: Carolina is 7-1 ATS arsenic a roadworthy underdog and has covered the past 5 meetings. … Arizona is riding a 6-1 ATS run, and the location squad has covered 7 of the past 8 meetings. But the Cardinals are connected a 9-21 dispersed descent arsenic location favorites.

Pick: Cardinals 23, Panthers 13

Seahawks (3-5) astatine Packers (7-2)

Time: 1:25 p.m., KLAS-8

Line/total: Packers -3½, 50½

Analysis: Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers was to beryllium activated Saturday aft missing past week’s crippled against the Chiefs due to the fact that of COVID-19. The Seahawks invited backmost QB Russell Wilson, who missed 3 games with a digit injury. Seattle is simply a unrecorded underdog with a bully changeable astatine a win. All the play surrounding Rodgers volition instrumentality its toll connected the Packers.

By the numbers: Seattle is 0-6-1 ATS astatine Lambeau Field. But the Seahawks person covered their past 2 roadworthy games and are connected an 11-2 screen streak arsenic roadworthy underdogs. … Green Bay has covered 8 consecutive games, and the location squad is 4-0-1 ATS successful the past 5 meetings.

Pick: Seahawks 26, Packers 23

Eagles (3-6) astatine Broncos (5-4)

Time: 1:25 p.m.

Line/total: Broncos -1½, 45½

Analysis: The Eagles couldn’t get disconnected the crushed past week against the Chargers, and the Broncos rode roughshod implicit the Cowboys. Denver dominated Dallas successful a 30-16 upset, but this week won’t beryllium truthful easy.

By the numbers: The Eagles are 3-8 ATS connected the road. … The Broncos are 4-10-1 ATS arsenic location favorites.

Pick: Eagles 37, Broncos 17

Chiefs (5-4) astatine Raiders (5-3)

Time: 5:20 p.m., KSNV-3

Line/total: Chiefs -2½, 52½

Analysis: The Raiders are mounting records for attrition for players not adjacent connected the tract aft releasing receiver Henry Ruggs and cornerback Damon Arnette, their 2020 first-round draught picks, the past 2 weeks. Two-time defending AFC champion Kansas City has struggled to regain its signifier this season. The Raiders are successful request of a beardown rebound aft past week’s 23-16 nonaccomplishment astatine the Giants arsenic 3-point favorites.

By the numbers: The Chiefs are 4-16 ATS successful their past 20 games and 2-8 ATS arsenic favorites. … The Raiders covered some meetings past season, and the location squad is 7-2 ATS successful the past 9 meetings. … Las Vegas is connected a 5-1 ATS tally arsenic an underdog and 4-1 ATS arsenic a location underdog.

Pick: Raiders 34, Chiefs 31 (OT)

Rams (7-2) astatine 49ers (3-5)

Time: 5:15 p.m. Monday, ESPN

Line/total: Rams -3½, 49

Analysis: Los Angeles’ location nonaccomplishment to Tennessee past week wasn’t pretty. After opening the play with 2 roadworthy wins, San Francisco has mislaid 5 of six portion going 1-5 ATS. The Niners are 0-4 astatine location aft getting whipped 31-17 past week by a Cardinals squad missing QB Kyler Murray and wideout DeAndre Hopkins.

By the numbers: The Rams are 3-8 ATS successful the past 11 meetings. But they are 12-3-1 ATS aft a straight-up nonaccomplishment and 11-5-1 ATS vs. the NFC West. … San Francisco is 5-2 arsenic a location underdog, and the underdog is 4-0 ATS successful the past 4 meetings.

Pick: 49ers 26, Rams 24