NFL betting breakdown: Week 13

BETTING BREAKDOWN

Dana Lane, @DanaLaneSports, Pickdawgz.com

Vikings (5-6) astatine Lions (0-10-1)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/total: Vikings -7½, 46½

Analysis: If the Vikings person immoderate hopes of making the postseason, their upcoming agelong of games volition beryllium the difference. After Sunday’s NFC North matchup against the Lions, Minnesota volition spell to Pittsburgh adjacent week earlier returning location to look the Bears. This week should beryllium a assurance builder for the squad and backmost Kirk Cousins, who is coming disconnected his worst crippled of the season.

By the numbers: The nether is 11-5 successful the past 16 meetings and Detroit is riding a 12-5 nether streak successful December. … The Vikings person covered six of the past 8 meetings and are 42-18 ATS aft a straight-up loss.

Pick: Vikings 23, Lions 14

Cardinals (9-2) astatine Bears (4-7)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/total: Cardinals -7½, 42

Analysis: With a matchup against the Rams connected the horizon, we’re going to spot the Cardinals looking ahead. Two weeks agone against the Seahawks, the Cardinals ran 30 much plays and had the shot for much than 40 minutes. The extremity present is to get done the Bears and past enactment the part distant adjacent week. Expect the Bears to tally the shot successful an effort to power the clock.

By the numbers: The Cardinals are connected a 7-0 nether streak arsenic roadworthy favorites and connected an 11-3 nether tally connected the roadworthy overall. … The Bears are riding a 28-11 nether streak connected grass. … Arizona is 5-0 ATS arsenic an underdog but 3-3 ATS arsenic a favorite.

Pick: Cardinals 21, Bears 17

Buccaneers (8-3) astatine Falcons (5-6)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/total: Buccaneers -10½, 50½

Analysis: Tampa Bay wide receiver Antonio Brown and information Mike Edwards are suspended for the adjacent 3 games. Brown hasn’t played since October, but the nonaccomplishment of Edwards means the Buccaneers suffer a versatile information that played successful 54 percent of their antiaircraft snaps successful past week’s triumph astatine Indianapolis and 71 percent the week earlier against the Giants. The Bucs play the Bills adjacent week, creating a imaginable look-ahead spot.

By the numbers: The location squad is 7-2 ATS successful the past 9 meetings. … The implicit is 10-1 successful the past 11 meetings, including 5 consecutive overs successful Atlanta. … Tampa Bay is 1-6 ATS arsenic a roadworthy favourite and 1-5 ATS successful its past six roadworthy games overall. … The Falcons person covered six of their past 8 December games.

Pick: Buccaneers 28, Falcons 24

Colts (6-6) astatine Texans (2-9)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/total: Colts -10, 44½

Analysis: With a winnable matchup this week earlier heading location to look the Patriots and past hitting the roadworthy to Arizona, this is simply a look-ahead spot for the Colts. I can’t backmost a squad coming disconnected a five-turnover crippled portion struggling against the run, adjacent if it’s playing against lowly Houston.

By the numbers: The Colts are 1-5 ATS against the AFC South and 2-5 ATS arsenic favorites. … The Texans person been beauteous bully aft mediocre violative efforts, covering 9 of their past 12 games aft being constricted to 15 points oregon little successful their erstwhile outing. … Houston is 6-2 ATS aft an ATS loss.

Pick: Colts 26, Texans 23

Eagles (5-7) astatine Jets (3-8)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/total: Eagles -6½, 45

Analysis: The Eagles are dealing with injuries to galore players, including backmost Jalen Hurts, who appeared to sprain his ankle past week. The Jets person shown signs of betterment defensively, but they inactive person to beryllium they tin halt the run. And the Eagles volition tally the ball.

By the numbers: Philadelphia has covered 5 consecutive meetings against the Jets and is 9-4 ATS aft an ATS loss. … New York is 1-6 ATS against teams with a losing record. … The nether is 11-4 the crippled aft the Jets let 15 points oregon less.

Pick: Eagles 24, Jets 14

Chargers (1-4) astatine Bengals (2-4)

Time: 10 a.m., KLAS-8

Line/total: Bengals -3, 49½

Analysis: Almost each crippled is won successful the trenches, and the Bengals’ violative enactment has shown betterment since close defender Hakeem Adeniji returned from an injury. The spot of the violative enactment has enabled Cincinnati to beryllium overmuch amended connected the crushed than past season. The Bengals are 3rd successful the NFL successful points per thrust successful the past six weeks.

By the numbers: The Chargers are 2-6 ATS successful the past 8 meetings and 1-5 ATS successful their past six games overall. … Los Angeles is connected a 7-3 implicit surge against teams with a winning record.

Pick: Bengals 31, Chargers 26

Giants (4-7) astatine Dolphins (5-7)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/total: Dolphins -6½, 39½

Analysis: We’ll spot if the Giants tin physique disconnected past week’s triumph implicit the Eagles. But they volition beryllium without starting backmost Daniel Jones, retired with a cervix injury. Journeyman QB Mike Glennon, 6-21 arsenic a starter successful his career, volition commencement for New York.

By the numbers: The Giants are 21-7 ATS successful their past 28 roadworthy games and 19-7-1 ATS against a squad with a losing record. … Miami is connected a 9-1 nether tally against teams with a losing grounds and riding a 20-6-1 nether streak overall.

Pick: Dolphins 17, Giants 14

Football Team (5-6) astatine Raiders (6-5)

Time: 1:05 p.m., KVVU-5

Line/total: Raiders -1½, 49

Analysis: The Raiders volition beryllium without prima choky extremity Darren Waller, who has a genu injury. They person had 10 days to prepare, and wide receiver DeSean Jackson is starting to go a large contributor connected offense. For Jackson to agelong the field, the violative enactment indispensable play arsenic good arsenic it did successful a 36-33 overtime triumph astatine Dallas connected Thanksgiving.

By the numbers: Washington is 3-7 ATS successful its past 10 games and 7-18-1 ATS aft playing connected “Monday Night Football.” … The Football Team is connected an 11-2 nether surge vs. teams with a winning record.

Pick: Raiders 24, Football Team 20

Ravens (8-3) astatine Steelers (5-5-1)

Time: 1:25 p.m.

Line/total: Ravens -4½, 44

Analysis: The venom that was spewing from Pittsburgh sports vigor stations was large each week agelong aft the Steelers were crushed by the Bengals 41-10. Pittsburgh indispensable triumph Sunday oregon its play is fundamentally implicit with a pugnacious docket the remainder of the way. The Steelers volition find occurrence if determination is betterment successful their violative enactment play.

By the numbers: The underdog is 20-7-3 ATS successful the past 30 meetings. … The Steelers are 17-4-2 ATS arsenic location underdogs and 34-16-3 ATS arsenic underdogs overall. … Baltimore is 1-5 ATS successful its past six games aft an ATS win.

Pick: Ravens 23, Steelers 20

Jaguars (2-9) astatine Rams (7-4)

Time: 1:25 p.m.

Line/total: Rams -12½, 48

Analysis: This isn’t an endorsement for the Jaguars, but the Rams won’t beryllium arsenic funny successful this crippled arsenic they volition beryllium for adjacent week’s matchup against the division-leading Cardinals. You tin marque the lawsuit that Jacksonville has wins implicit the Bills and Dolphins, and that 3 of its past six losses person been decided by 1 possession.

By the numbers: Jacksonville is 5-2 ATS arsenic a roadworthy underdog. … The Rams are 1-7 ATS against teams with a losing grounds and 0-5 ATS successful their past 5 games arsenic favorites. … The Jaguars are riding a 6-0 nether tally wide and 10-1 nether streak arsenic underdogs.

Pick: Rams 26, Jaguars 16

49ers (6-5) astatine Seahawks (3-8)

Time: 1:25 p.m., KLAS-8

Line/total: 49ers -3, 45½

Analysis: The Seahawks aren’t enjoying their emblematic coagulated play nether manager Pete Carroll. But 1 happening that has remained the aforesaid amid Seattle’s struggles has been its staunch reddish portion defense. The Seahawks fertile No. 4 successful touchdown percentage, allowing a 50 percent TD occurrence rate. They volition request that defence against the Niners, who person been beardown successful reddish portion offense. The Seahawks won astatine San Francisco successful Week 4 due to the fact that of their quality to triumph the conflict wrong the 20 and a first-half wounded to Niners QB Jimmy Garoppolo.

By the numbers: San Francisco is 2-7-1 ATS successful its past 10 games astatine Seattle and 5-14-1 ATS successful the past 20 meetings overall. … The implicit is 5-1-1 successful the past 7 meetings. … The Niners are 4-10 ATS arsenic favorites, and Seattle is 14-6 ATS arsenic an underdog.

Pick: Seahawks 26, 49ers 24

Broncos (6-5) astatine Chiefs (7-4)

Time: 5:20 p.m., KSNV-3

Line/total: Chiefs -9½, 47

Analysis: The Broncos haven’t beaten the Chiefs since 2015, losing the past 11 meetings. This is simply a measuring-stick crippled for Denver. Kansas City has enjoyed a plus-20 turnover borderline during its 11-game winning streak implicit the Broncos and has stopped Denver successful virtually each travel to the reddish zone. The Chiefs person had 2 weeks to prepare.

By the numbers: The Broncos are 2-9 ATS successful the past 11 meetings. … Denver is 3-7-1 ATS the week aft a triumph of 14 points oregon more. … The Broncos are connected a 21-6-1 nether streak aft a win. … Kansas City has an 11-3-1 nether grounds the week aft a bye.

Pick: Chiefs 24, Broncos 13

Patriots (8-4) astatine Bills (7-4)

Time: 5:15 p.m., ESPN

Line/total: Bills -3, 40½

Analysis: This is not what Buffalo fans anticipated erstwhile Tom Brady near New England for Tampa Bay. Their imaginativeness of a agelong reign arsenic kings of the AFC East has been short-lived, arsenic the Patriots pb the division. And New England is getting stronger aft winning and covering six consecutive games. Bill Belichick is 35-7 successful his vocation against the Bills, with 2 of those losses past season. This comes down to the containment of Bills QB Josh Allen, who has been turnover-prone lately.

By the numbers: New England is 15-2 successful the past 17 meetings astatine Buffalo. … The Patriots are connected a 5-1 nether surge connected “Monday Night Football” and 7-2 nether tally connected the road.

Pick: Patriots 21, Bills 17