NFL betting breakdown: Week 15

NFL BETTING BREAKDOWN

Ted Sevransky/Teddy Covers, @teddy_covers, Sportsmemo.com

Panthers (5-8) astatine Bills (7-6)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/total: Bills -13, 44

Analysis: Cam Newton was a catastrophe successful Carolina 2 years ago. He was a catastrophe successful New England past twelvemonth and he’s been a catastrophe for the Panthers since they signed him successful November. The Panthers are 0-3 with Newton arsenic their starting backmost and his lone roadworthy crippled astatine Miami was arsenic disfigured arsenic it gets astatine the backmost presumption successful the NFL. The Bills person dominated losing teams and Buffalo besides has excelled erstwhile it’s coming disconnected a loss.

By the numbers: The Panthers are 8-1 ATS arsenic roadworthy underdogs and 10-3 ATS connected the roadworthy successful immoderate role. But Carolina is 2-5 ATS coming disconnected a nonaccomplishment and 2-8 ATS successful its past 10 overall. … The Bills are 6-1-1 ATS vs. opponents with a losing grounds and 5-1-1 ATS coming disconnected a loss.

Pick: Bills 23, Panthers 10

Jets (3-10) astatine Dolphins (6-7)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/total: Dolphins -10, 41

Analysis: Miami manager Brian Flores’ squad is coming disconnected 5 consecutive victories and a bye week. That’s mostly a ‘fat and happy’ benignant of spot that isn’t precise bully for favorites. And there’s ample worth to enactment immoderate of the bottommost feeders successful the NFL this week aft each of them — the Jaguars, Texans, Jets, Giants, Lions and Bears – mislaid consecutive up and ATS past week. These AFC East rivals played a competitory crippled little than a period agone and are primed for different 1 here.

By the numbers: The Jets are 15-34-3 ATS connected the roadworthy and 7-18-1 vs. the AFC East. … The Dolphins are riding screen streaks of 5-0-1 overall, 6-0 aft their bye week and 10-1 astatine location vs. an hostile with a losing roadworthy record.

Pick: Dolphins 24, Jets 17

Cowboys (9-4) astatine Giants (4-9)

Time: 10 a.m., KVVU-5

Line/total: Cowboys -11½, 44½

Analysis: The Cowboys person been winning games with their defense, allowing 20 points oregon little 5 times successful 7 games since their bye week. They’ve forced astatine slightest 2 takeaways 10 times already this play and are 2nd successful the NFL successful turnovers created. That’s atrocious quality for a Giants squad with backup QB Mike Glennon down center. He’s thrown much interceptions than touchdowns this season, including 2 successful the archetypal gathering against Dallas.

By the numbers: The Cowboys are 10-1 ATS vs. the NFC and 6-1 ATS vs opponents with a losing record. … The Giants are 9-20-1 ATS astatine home, including a 7-16 ATS people arsenic location underdogs.

Pick: Cowboys 29, Giants 16

Titans (9-4) astatine Steelers (6-6-1)

Time: 10 a.m., KLAS-8

Line/total: Steelers -2½, 43

Analysis: Since the Titans mislaid starring rusher Derrick Henry and starring receiver A.J. Brown to semipermanent injuries, their discourtesy has been stuck successful the mud. They gained lone 3.8 yards per play against the Jaguars past week, but a +4 turnover borderline ended Urban Meyer’s NFL coaching vocation with a 20-0 nonaccomplishment to Tennessee. The Steelers person shown plentifulness of combat successful caller weeks, but their defence has been gashed connected the crushed repeatedly.

By the numbers: The Titans are 7-20-1 ATS connected the roadworthy vs. opponents with a losing location record. … The Steelers are 2-6 ATS astatine location and 2-8 ATS successful December.

Pick: Steelers 21, Titans 17

Texans (2-11) astatine Jaguars (2-11)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/total: Jaguars -5½, 39½

Analysis: Money poured successful connected the Jaguars arsenic soon arsenic Urban Meyer’s firing was announced, arsenic the Jags moved from -3 to -5 wrong minutes. Then again, Jacksonville’s problems spell overmuch further than their erstwhile coach. The Jaguars were favored astatine Houston successful a 37-21 nonaccomplishment successful the play opener. It’s hard to marque wealth laying points with bottommost feeders.

By the numbers: The Texans are 8-20-2 ATS successful December, 1-4 ATS arsenic roadworthy underdogs and 0-5 ATS pursuing a double-digit location loss. … The Jaguars are 2-7 ATS astatine home, 1-5 ATS arsenic location favorites and 0-4 ATS pursuing a nonaccomplishment of 14 points oregon more.

Pick: Texans 16, Jaguars 14

Cardinals (10-3) astatine Lions (1-11-1)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/total: Cardinals -13, 47½

Analysis: Arizona has won each roadworthy crippled it’s played this twelvemonth by 10 points oregon more. But its wounded study is simply a mile long, with a batch of cardinal accomplishment presumption guys wounded this week, and the Cardinals are connected a abbreviated week aft Monday night’s nonaccomplishment to the Rams. The Lions person hung pugnacious successful each of their past 2 location games, but this is not a squad primed to rally if they autumn behind.

By the numbers: The Cardinals are 4-0 ATS disconnected an ATS loss, 5-1 ATS vs opponents with a losing grounds and 4-1 ATS arsenic a roadworthy favorite. … The Lions are 6-0 ATS disconnected an ATS nonaccomplishment and 5-2 ATS astatine home. But Detroit is lone 3-7 ATS astatine location vs. an hostile with a winning roadworthy record.

Pick: Cardinals 23, Lions 13

Falcons (6-7) astatine 49ers (7-6)

Time: 1:05 p.m.

Line/total: 49ers -9, 46½

Analysis: San Francisco is coming disconnected 3 consecutive down-to-the wire, grueling games, including past week’s overtime triumph successful Cincinnati. The Niners volition play again astatine Tennessee connected Thursday night. The Falcons person won six of their past 7 roadworthy games and they’ve played themselves backmost into the playoff picture, with lone 1 crippled separating these teams successful the standings.

By the numbers: The Falcons are 5-1 ATS connected the road. But they’re lone 1-6 ATS pursuing a SU triumph and 2-7 ATS connected the roadworthy vs. an hostile with a winning location record. … The 49ers are 16-34-1 ATS astatine location and 5-11 ATS arsenic favorites.

Pick: 49ers 26, Falcons 23

Bengals (7-6) astatine Broncos (7-6)

Time: 1:05 p.m.

Line/total: Broncos -3, 44

Analysis: The Bengals person mislaid back-to-back games and 4 of their past six portion the Broncos person won 4 retired of six since their midseason four-game losing streak. Denver’s offense, however, is simply a one-trick pony. When the Broncos can’t run, they can’t win, and the Bengals person a top-10 tally defense, allowing lone 4.1 yards per carry.

By the numbers: The Bengals are 5-2 ATS disconnected a SU nonaccomplishment and are 7-2 ATS connected the roadworthy vs. an hostile with a winning location record. … The Broncos are 3-8-1 ATS pursuing a triumph by 14 points oregon more. … The underdog is 8-2 ATS successful the past 10 meetings and Cincinnati is connected a 4-0 screen tally successful Denver.

Pick: Bengals 23, Broncos 20

Packers (10-3) astatine Ravens (8-5)

Time: 1:25 p.m., KVVU-5

Line/total: Packers -7, 43½

Analysis: It doesn’t look arsenic if Lamar Jackson is going to suit up for Baltimore this week, leaving backup QB Tyler Huntley down center. The Ravens’ passing defence has been leaky for months, ranked No. 31 successful the NFL successful passing yardage allowed. Both concerns are problematic against Aaron Rodgers, but it’s not similar Green Bay is elite defensively, either.

By the numbers: The Packers are riding a 16-5 ATS streak and are 19-7 ATS vs. an hostile with a winning record. … The Ravens are 10-1 ATS successful December and 5-1 ATS arsenic location underdogs. But they’re conscionable 1-6 ATS aft an ATS triumph and 1-6 ATS astatine location vs. an hostile with a winning roadworthy record.

Pick: Packers 32, Ravens 28

Saints (6-7) astatine Buccaneers (10-3)

Time: 5:20 p.m., KSNV-3

Line/total: Buccaneers -11½, 45

Analysis: The Saints person lone 1 triumph — implicit the lowly Jets — since they bushed Tampa Bay successful October. New Orleans QB Taysom Hill is not the 2nd coming of Drew Brees, and he’s not going to walk the Saints to a comeback victory. When this squad is down by aggregate scores, they’re done. The Bucs person enjoyed a important home-field borderline this year, winning and covering their past 5 location games.

By the numbers: The Saints are 36-15 ATS connected the road, 19-7 ATS arsenic roadworthy underdogs and 13-5 ATS connected grass. … The Bucs are 5-0 ATS arsenic location favorites and 13-3-2 ATS successful December. But they’re connected a 1-6 ATS descent vs. New Orleans.

Pick: Buccaneers 33, Saints 15

Raiders (6-7) astatine Browns (7-6)

Time: 2 p.m. Monday, NFLN

Line/total: Browns -3, 40½

Analysis: The Raiders person lone 1 triumph since October and they no-showed successful past week’s 48-9 nonaccomplishment astatine Kansas City. It was the 4th clip successful their past six games nether interim manager Rich Bisaccia that they’ve mislaid ATS by a double-digit margin. The Browns are dealing with a COVID outbreak. But they’ve shown plentifulness of combat contempt important adversity connected and disconnected the field.

By the numbers: The Raiders are 4-1 ATS connected Monday nighttime and 5-2 ATS arsenic roadworthy underdogs. But they’re connected a 1-5 dispersed skid overall. … The Browns are 6-2 ATS astatine location vs. an hostile with a losing roadworthy record. But they’re conscionable 1-5 ATS connected Monday nighttime and 0-4 ATS pursuing their past 4 SU wins.

Pick: Browns 20, Raiders 15

Vikings (6-7) astatine Bears (4-9)

Time: 5:15 p.m. Monday, ESPN

Line/total: Vikings -6½, 44

Analysis: The Bears scored a season-high 30 points successful past week’s nonaccomplishment astatine Green Bay. But they inactive failed to screen the dispersed arsenic their defence collapsed for the 2nd consecutive week. Chicago manager Matt Nagy is hanging connected to his occupation by a thread and the lone squad the Bears person beaten the past 2 months was the Lions by 2 points connected Thanksgiving. The Vikings play up oregon down to their level of competition, with 11 of their 13 games this play decided by a azygous score.

By the numbers: The Vikings are 2-9 ATS arsenic favorites, 0-7 ATS vs. an hostile with a losing grounds and 3-12 ATS connected “Monday Night Football.” … The Bears are 1-6 ATS arsenic underdogs, 0-5 ATS arsenic location underdogs and 3-13 ATS vs. the NFC.

Pick: Vikings 28, Bears 26

Seahawks (5-8) astatine Rams (9-4)

Time: 4 p.m. Tuesday

Line/total: Rams -6½, 45

Analysis: The Rams are dealing with a COVID outbreak, forcing this crippled to beryllium postponed until Tuesday. Los Angeles has galore cardinal performers connected some sides of the shot successful the COVID protocols and are connected a abbreviated week pursuing their triumph astatine Arizona connected Monday night. Seattle has shown signs of beingness the past fewer weeks, but without heavy menace Tyler Lockett (COVID list), this discourtesy is severely limited.

By the numbers: The Seahawks are 11-4 ATS arsenic roadworthy underdogs and 15-6 ATS arsenic underdogs overall. But they‘re lone 3-11 ATS pursuing a SU win. … The Rams are 26-12-1 ATS vs. the NFC. But they’re connected a 1-5 dispersed skid arsenic favorites.

Pick: Rams 14, Seahawks 13

Football Team (6-7) astatine Eagles (6-7)

Time: 4 p.m. Tuesday

Line/total: Eagles -7, 42

Analysis: Washington has been deed with a COVID outbreak and this crippled has been postponed until Tuesday, erstwhile the Football Team mightiness person a roster that’s little depleted. Philadelphia has won 4 of its past six games, each by double-digit margins, with the champion moving discourtesy successful the NFL during that span.

By the numbers: The Football Team is 8-20 ATS aft a SU loss. But they’re connected a 4-1 ATS surge arsenic underdogs. … The Eagles are 2-5 ATS arsenic location favorites, 3-7 ATS aft their bye week and 3-10 ATS pursuing an ATS win.

Pick: Eagles 30, Football Team 13