NFL betting breakdown: Week 17

Dana Lane, @DanaLaneSports, Pickdawgz.com

Raiders (8-7) astatine Colts (9-6)

■ Time: 10 a.m., KVVU-5

■ Line/total: Colts -7½, 44½

■ Analysis: Colts backmost Carson Wentz was activated from the reserve/COVID-19 database Saturday. His symptoms person to beryllium “resolved oregon improved” by Sunday greeting for him to play, according to the caller NFL policy. If helium can’t, rookie Sam Ehlinger volition start. The Colts tin clinch a playoff spot with a win.

■ By the numbers: The Raiders are 3-2 ATS arsenic roadworthy underdogs. … The Raiders are 6-4 ATS arsenic underdogs overall. … The Colts are connected a 5-2 nether streak arsenic location favorites.

■ Pick: Colts 23, Raiders 20

Giants (4-11) astatine Bears (5-10)

■ Time: 10 a.m.

■ Line/total: Bears -6, 37

■ Analysis: Although the Bears’ instrumentality basal is acceptable to occurrence everyone, starting with manager Matt Nagy, we saw a squad that did not discontinue successful past week’s comeback triumph astatine Seattle. And that’s what you’re looking for successful games involving teams that won’t marque the postseason. The Giants look consenting to play retired the drawstring without demanding excellence. In different words, they’ve quit.

■ By the numbers: The Bears are 2-1 ATS arsenic favorites, but this is the archetypal clip they’re laying much than 3 points. … The Giants are riding a 10-1 nether streak against teams with a losing record.

■ Pick: Bears 27, Giants 20

Buccaneers (11-4) astatine Jets (4-11)

■ Time: 10 a.m.

■ Line/total: Buccaneers -13, 45½

■ Analysis: At property 44, Tom Brady leads the NFL successful 4 statistical categories. With playoff seeding yet to beryllium determined, I can’t spot a letdown spot for Tampa Bay. After a uncommon triumph against the Jaguars, it’s much apt to spot a satisfied Jets team.

■ By the numbers: New York is 5-11 ATS. … The Bucs person the NFL’s No. 1 passing offense, averaging 300 yards per game. … The Jets person the league’s worst defense, allowing 391.3 ypg.

■ Pick: Buccaneers 37, Jets 23

Falcons (7-8) astatine Bills (9-6)

■ Time: 10 a.m.

■ Line/total: Bills -14½, 44

■ Analysis: This is the clip of twelvemonth erstwhile the existent Super Bowl contenders commencement to summation that swagger that each title teams have. The Bills are peaking astatine the close clip and won’t instrumentality the Falcons lightly aft getting upset by the Jaguars this season.

■ By the numbers: The Bills are 7-1 ATS against teams with a losing record, including a 3-1-1 ATS people arsenic double-digit favorites.

■ Pick: Bills 40, Falcons 24

Eagles (8-7) astatine Washington (6-9)

■ Time: 10 a.m.

■ Line/total: Eagles -3½, 44½

■ Analysis: It’s a agelong shot, but if Washington wins, it’s inactive successful the playoff hunt. Lose and it’s out. The Football Team mislaid the archetypal gathering 27-17, but was without starting backmost Taylor Heinicke.

■ By the numbers: The Eagles are connected a 3-10 ATS descent aft a cover. … Washington is connected a 13-3 nether streak against teams with a winning record.

Pick: Washington 23, Eagles 20

Chiefs (11-4) astatine Bengals (9-6)

■ Time: 10 a.m.

■ Line/total: Chiefs -5, 51

■ Analysis: This is the biggest crippled the Bengals person played successful a agelong time. With a win, they volition clinch the AFC North rubric and unafraid a playoff berth for the archetypal clip since 2015. Joe Burrow scorched the Ravens past week for 525 passing yards and 4 touchdowns aft being snubbed for the Pro Bowl. This is the signifier Burrow has wanted since being drafted No. 1 wide past season, and I deliberation helium volition instrumentality halfway signifier aft this one.

■ By the numbers: The Chiefs are 4-9 ATS the week aft scoring 30 points. … The Bengals are 4-1 ATS vs. teams that person a .500 grounds oregon better.

■ Pick: Bengals 26, Chiefs 23

Jaguars (2-13) astatine Patriots (9-6)

■ Time: 10 a.m.

■ Line/total: Patriots -16½, 41½

■ Analysis: I’m anticipating a tiny letdown aft the Patriots’ 2nd consecutive nonaccomplishment past week to the Bills. New England tin inactive triumph the division, but needs assistance from either the Falcons oregon Jets. Patriots rookie backmost Mac Jones has been excessively inconsistent for maine to beryllium comfy covering this precocious number.

■ By the numbers: The underdog is 5-2 ATS successful this series. … The Patriots are connected a 5-0 implicit tally astatine home.

■ Pick: Patriots 35, Jaguars 21

Dolphins (8-7) astatine Titans (10-5)

■ Time: 10 a.m.

■ Line/total: Titans -3½, 40

■ Analysis: The Titans volition clinch their 3rd consecutive part rubric with a win. This volition travel down to which violative enactment tin support its quarterback. Miami backmost Tua Tagovailoa has been harassed for astir of the season, but it’s the Dolphins who pb the league with 45 sacks, 33 coming during their seven-game triumph streak.

■ By the numbers: The Dolphins are connected a 6-1 screen tally and are 20-8-1 ATS arsenic underdogs. … The Titans are riding a 12-4-1 implicit streak against teams with a winning record.

■ Pick: Dolphins 23, Titans 20

Rams (11-4) astatine Ravens (8-7)

■ Time: 10 a.m.

■ Line/total: Rams -5½, 46½

■ Analysis: Ravens backmost Lamar Jackson has missed the past 2 games with an ankle wounded and is questionable to play. Backup Tyler Huntley would commencement successful his place. I expect the Rams to proceed to thin connected Sony Michel, who led the NFL successful rushing successful December.

■ By the numbers: The Rams person covered 4 consecutive down an discourtesy that has averaged astir 30 points successful the past 5 games. … Baltimore is 2-6 ATS astatine location against teams with a winning roadworthy record.

■ Pick: Rams 31, Ravens 24

Broncos (7-8) astatine Chargers (8-7)

■ Time: 1:05 p.m., KLAS-8

■ Line/total: Chargers -8, 45

■ Analysis: The Broncos are looking for their 2nd triumph and screen against the Chargers aft beating them 28-13 successful Week 12. Los Angeles volition effort to halt a Denver moving crippled that racked up 147 yards connected the crushed successful the archetypal meeting. The Broncos person won 16 of the past 21 meetings.

■ By the numbers: The Chargers are 4-1 ATS successful the past 5 meetings and are 11-2 ATS aft scoring 15 points oregon less successful their erstwhile game. … Los Angeles is 19-41-1 ATS astatine home.

■ Pick: Chargers 26, Broncos 23

Texans (4-11) astatine 49ers (8-7)

■ Time: 1:05 p.m.

■ Line/total: 49ers -12½, 43½

■ Analysis: After a 2-11 start, the Texans person won their past 2 games implicit the Chargers and Jaguars. The Niners astir apt volition win, but it’s excessively overmuch to inquire them to screen treble digits with their injuries, arsenic backmost Jimmy Garoppolo is doubtful with a fractured thumb. Rookie Trey Lance is expected to marque his 2nd vocation start.

■ By the numbers: The 49ers are 15-31-1 ATS arsenic favorites and 7-18-1 ATS against teams with a losing roadworthy record. … The Texans are connected a 5-1 nether surge connected the road.

■ Pick: 49ers 21, Texans 17

Cardinals (10-5) astatine Cowboys (11-4)

■ Time: 1:25 p.m., KVVU-5

■ Line/total: Cowboys -6, 51

■ Analysis: The Cardinals person mislaid 3 straight, including a 30-12 beatdown to the Lions arsenic 13-point favorites. The Cowboys look similar morganatic Super Bowl contenders, with arguably the league’s astir feared discourtesy and their sensational rookie linebacker, Micah Parsons.

■ By the numbers: The Cardinals are 18-7-2 ATS arsenic underdogs and 17-6-3 ATS arsenic roadworthy underdogs. … Dallas is 5-12 ATS against teams with a winning record.

■ Pick: Cowboys 28, Cardinals 26

Panthers (5-10) astatine Saints (7-8)

■ Time: 1:25 p.m.

■ Line/total: Saints -6½, 37½

■ Analysis: The Saints inactive person a faint anticipation of making the postseason, but archetypal they request to instrumentality attraction of teams specified arsenic the Panthers, who volition commencement Sam Darnold astatine quarterback. Carolina was unopen retired successful the 2nd fractional past week against Tampa Bay. New Orleans had 21 players miss Monday’s nonaccomplishment to the Dolphins, but astatine slightest 13 person cleared COVID-19 protocol.

■ By the numbers: The Panthers are connected an 0-5 dispersed skid wide and are 7-21 ATS against teams nether .500. … New Orleans is 7-2 ATS the week aft an ATS loss.

■ Pick: Saints 24, Panthers 10

Lions (2-12-1) astatine Seahawks (5-10)

■ Time: 1:25 p.m.

■ Line/total: Seahawks -7½, 41½

Analysis: If the Lions could person a fewer much times successful the reddish zone, possibly their play wouldn’t lucifer the catastrophe that it is. Despite Detroit’s record, it has shown plentifulness of combat successful going 10-5 ATS. The Seahawks person mislaid their home-field advantage, going 2-5.

■ By the numbers: The Lions are 6-1 ATS arsenic roadworthy underdogs. … Seattle is 4-9 ATS against teams with a losing record. … Detroit is connected a 6-1 nether tally connected the road. … The Seahawks are riding an 18-6 nether streak overall.

■ Pick: Seahawks 21, Lions 17

Vikings (7-8) astatine Packers (5-10)

■ Time: 5:20 p.m., KSNV-3

■ Line/total: Packers -13, 42½

■ Analysis: The Vikings defeated the Packers successful their archetypal meeting, but that was with backmost Kirk Cousins, who is retired connected the COVID-19 list. He volition beryllium replaced by Sean Mannion, 0-2 arsenic a starter. The Packers person been terrific astatine forcing turnovers, but this enactment seems to beryllium begging the nationalist to leap connected them.

■ By the numbers: The underdog has covered 4 consecutive successful this series. … Minnesota is 43-19 ATS aft a straight-up loss. … The Vikings person a 13-3 implicit grounds aft a straight-up loss. … The Packers are connected an 8-2 implicit streak against the NFC North.

■ Pick: Packers 27, Vikings 23

Browns (7-8) astatine Steelers (7-7-1)

■ Time: 5:15 p.m. Monday, ESPN

■ Line/total: Browns -3½, 41½

■ Analysis: Don’t get caught up successful the information that this mightiness beryllium Ben Roethlisberger’s last location crippled successful Pittsburgh. The Browns, who fertile 2nd successful the NFL successful rushing, should person plentifulness of chances to tally connected the Steelers, who fertile No. 30 successful rushing defense. Expect Cleveland moving backmost Nick Chubb to transportation the Browns person to a part title, portion the Steelers spot their playoff hopes extremity astatine home.

■ By the numbers: Pittsburgh is 0-6 ATS against teams with a losing record. … Cleveland is 7-3-1 ATS successful January. … The Browns are connected a 6-2 implicit surge against the AFC North. … Pittsburgh has a 25-7-1 implicit grounds successful January.

■ Pick: Browns 27, Steelers 21