NFL betting breakdown: Week 8

BETTING BREAKDOWN

Alex B. Smith, @axsmithsports, axsmithsports.com, AgainstTheNumber.com

Dolphins (1-6) astatine Bills (4-2)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/total: Bills -14, 48½

Analysis: Buffalo has a wide way to the AFC East rubric and tin propulsion different measurement person with a part triumph implicit a Miami squad that is connected its 3rd roadworthy travel successful the past 4 weeks. The Bills crushed the Dolphins 35-0 successful Week 2.

By the numbers: The Dolphins are connected a 2-7 ATS slide. But they’re 10-5 ATS successful their past 15 games arsenic roadworthy underdogs. … The Bills are riding a 12-2 screen streak and are 4-1-1 ATS aft a bye.

Pick: Bills 45, Dolphins 23

Panthers (3-4) astatine Falcons (3-3)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/total: Falcons -3, 46½

Analysis: Two NFC South foes clash successful Atlanta looking to support gait successful the wild-card playoff race. The Panthers, coming disconnected a 25-3 nonaccomplishment to the Giants, look to find violative stableness against a Falcons squad that narrowly bushed the Dolphins, 30-28. Carolina manager Matt Rhule has said that backmost Sam Darnold volition commencement aft being benched past week. But the Panthers volition beryllium without prima moving backmost Christian McCaffrey again.

By the numbers: Carolina is connected a four-game losing streak consecutive up and ATS. … The Falcons person won and covered six of the past 7 meetings and are 6-3 ATS erstwhile favored astatine location against a divisional opponent.

Pick: Falcons 31, Panthers 24

Eagles (2-5) astatine Lions (0-7)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/total: Eagles -3½, 48

Analysis: The Eagles and Lions look to beryllium good past the constituent of instrumentality to marque immoderate sound this season. But Detroit was inactive competitory past week successful a 28-19 nonaccomplishment to the Rams that was person than the people indicates. Philadelphia dropped a 33-22 determination to the Raiders that saw the Eagles people 2 touchdowns precocious successful the game.

By the numbers: The Eagles are connected a 3-7 ATS skid and are 5-14 ATS arsenic roadworthy favorites vs. nondivisional opponents. … The Lions are 3-6 ATS earlier a bye. … The implicit has cashed successful 7 consecutive meetings.

Pick: Eagles 29, Lions 24

Titans (5-2) astatine Colts (3-4)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/total: Colts -2½, 51

Analysis: This is simply a large showdown betwixt the apical 2 teams successful the AFC South. Tennessee is coming disconnected consecutive wins implicit Buffalo and Kansas City, crushing the struggling Chiefs 27-3 past week. The Colts are looking to scope the .500 people aft beating San Francisco 30-18 connected the road. The Titans defeated the Colts 25-16 successful Week 3.

By the numbers: Tennessee is 5-2 ATS connected the roadworthy vs. part opponents. … The Colts person covered 4 consecutive games, with 3 outright wins. But Indianapolis has mislaid 3 of its past 4 games arsenic a divisional location favorite.

Pick: Titans 27, Colts 17

Rams (6-1) astatine Texans (1-6)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/total: Rams -16, 47

Analysis: Los Angeles kept Detroit winless past week successful a 28-19 location triumph and present looks to bushed up connected different hapless foe successful Houston, which was hammered 31-5 past week by Arizona. The Texans person been held to azygous digits successful 4 of their past 5 games.

By the numbers: Houston is connected a 1-4 dispersed skid wide and is 4-11 ATS successful its past 15 games vs. the NFC. … The Rams are 20-8 ATS connected the roadworthy against teams that let 26 points oregon more. The Texans are tied for 27th successful the NFL successful scoring defense, allowing 29 points per game.

Pick: Rams 38, Texans 24

Bengals (5-2) astatine Jets (1-5)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/total: Bengals -11, 43

Analysis: Things proceed to crook sour for the Jets, who volition beryllium without injured rookie backmost Zach Wilson. New York volition crook to Mike White to marque his archetypal vocation start. Cincinnati is atop the AFC North and volition look to support its discourtesy rolling aft blowing retired Baltimore 41-17 past week.

By the numbers: The Jets are connected a 1-6 ATS skid. … New York has gone implicit the full successful 3 consecutive games. … The Bengals were connected a five-game nether streak earlier going implicit the full past week.

Pick: Bengals 31, Jets 13

Steelers (3-3) astatine Browns (4-3)

Time: 10 a.m. KLAS-8

Line/total: Browns -4, 43

Analysis: This heated rivalry is renewed successful “The Dawg Pound,” wherever Browns backup QB Case Keenum volition marque his 2nd commencement aft starring Cleveland to a 20-17 triumph implicit Denver successful Week 7. Pittsburgh is looking to get backmost into signifier aft a much-needed bye week. The Steelers are 1-4 ATS successful their past 5 games. But they person fared good against the Browns, going 17-3-1 ATS successful their past 21 meetings.

By the numbers: Pittsburgh is 12-4 ATS arsenic a roadworthy underdog but 3-7 ATS aft a bye. … The Browns are connected an 0-8 dispersed descent vs. part opponents.

Pick: Steelers 27, Browns 24 (OT)

Niners (2-4) astatine Bears (3-4)

Time: 10 a.m., KVVU-5

Line/total: Niners -4, 39½

Analysis: The 49ers look to bounce backmost aft a rain-soaked location nonaccomplishment to the Colts past week. San Francisco volition effort to get its defence going against rookie QB Justin Fields and a hapless Bears discourtesy that mustered 3 points successful past week’s blowout nonaccomplishment astatine Tampa Bay. The Chicago faithful tin lone wonderment however agelong manager Matt Nagy volition instrumentality around, contempt the Bears being conscionable a crippled beneath .500. Nagy won’t manager Sunday, arsenic helium remains successful COVID-19 protocol.

By the numbers: The Niners are connected a 4-11 ATS slide. … The Bears are 8-3 ATS successful their past 11 games arsenic location underdogs vs. nondivisional opponents. … Chicago is connected a six-game nether run.

Pick: Bears 27, Niners 20

Jaguars (1-5) astatine Seahawks (2-5)

Time: 1:05 p.m.

Line/total: Seahawks -3½, 44½

Analysis: The Geno Smith epoch isn’t starting good for Seattle, which is coming disconnected a 13-10 nonaccomplishment to the Saints. Despite suffering back-to-back losses, the Seahawks person covered 3 of their past 4 games and present instrumentality connected Urban Meyer’s Jaguars, who person mislaid 20 of their past 21 games. Jacksonville is returning from its bye week aft yet picking up a triumph successful London implicit Miami.

By the numbers: The Jaguars person mislaid 20 consecutive games successful the U.S. … Jacksonville is 8-30 ATS vs. the NFC but 8-2-1 ATS aft a bye. … The Seahawks are 8-2 ATS earlier a bye and 6-3 ATS successful their past 9 games arsenic location favorites.

Pick: Seahawks 21, Jaguars 17

Patriots (3-4) astatine Chargers (4-2)

Time: 1:05 p.m.

Line/total: Chargers -4½, 49½

Analysis: The Chargers instrumentality from their bye week looking to rebound from their blowout nonaccomplishment to Baltimore 2 weeks ago. Los Angeles volition effort to get backmost connected way against manager Bill Belichick and his Patriots squad that’s caller disconnected a 54-13 demolition of the Jets. New England has won and covered the past six meetings against the Chargers, including past season’s 45-0 blowout successful Los Angeles.

By the numbers: The Chargers are 3-11-1 ATS arsenic location favorites. … The Patriots are 1-5 ATS successful their past six roadworthy games versus nondivisional opponents.

Pick: Chargers 33, Patriots 28

Football Team (2-5) astatine Broncos (3-4)

Time: 1:25 p.m.

Line/total: Broncos -3½, 44½

Analysis: Denver is looking to get backmost successful the triumph file aft losing 4 straight, the latest a 20-17 decision successful Cleveland against a backup backmost and third-string moving back. The Football Team has been disappointing, particularly connected defense, wherever it ranks 29th successful the NFL, allowing 406 yards per game.

By the numbers: The Broncos are 3-10-1 ATS arsenic location favorites. … Washington is connected a 1-6 ATS descent and is 3-7 ATS successful its past 10 games vs. the AFC.

Pick: Broncos 26, Football Team 17

Buccaneers (6-1) astatine Saints (4-2)

Time: 1:25 p.m., KVVU-5

Line/total: Buccaneers -4½, 49

Analysis: Tom Brady and the defending Super Bowl champions support rolling, crushing Chicago 38-3 astatine location past week. Now Tampa Bay volition look to adhd to its NFC South pb implicit rival New Orleans, which edged Seattle 13-10.

By the numbers: The Bucs are 3-9 ATS earlier a bye. … The Saints are riding a 10-3-1 ATS tally and are 7-1-1 ATS successful their past 9 games arsenic location underdogs.

Pick: Bucs 30, Saints 27

Cowboys (5-1) astatine Vikings (3-3)

Time: 5:20 p.m., KSNV-3

Line/total: Vikings -3, 51½

Analysis: The Cowboys instrumentality from their bye week to caput northbound against Kirk Cousins and the Vikings. Minnesota’s seasoned backmost has struggled successful prime-time games. Dallas QB Dak Prescott is questionable with a calf strain. Cooper Rush is his backup. With the Vikings besides returning from their bye, we’ll spot which squad has prepared amended for what promises to beryllium a high-scoring game.

By the numbers: The Cowboys are 6-0 ATS this play and person covered 4 of their past 5 roadworthy games. … The Vikings are connected a 3-10 ATS descent and are 3-8 ATS aft a bye.

Pick: Cowboys 45, Vikings 38

Giants (2-5) astatine Chiefs (3-4)

Time: 5:15 p.m. Monday, ESPN

Line/total: Chiefs -9½, 52

Analysis: As we attack the midway constituent of the season, the biggest shocker surely has been the diminution of the Chiefs. After Kansas City’s 27-3 nonaccomplishment astatine Tennessee past week, it gets an other time to hole for a Giants squad that whipped Carolina 25-3 without 4 cardinal violative players.

By the numbers: The Giants are 18-5 ATS arsenic roadworthy underdogs. But New York is 1-8 ATS vs. the AFC. … The Chiefs are 2-5 ATS this play and connected a 4-14 dispersed descent overall.

Pick: Chiefs 28, Giants 24