3 years ago
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Professional sports bettor Cris Zeniuk is riding a singular blistery streak successful NFL handicapping contests successful Las Vegas.
Zeniuk, aka Las Vegas Cris (@lasvegascris), claimed 2nd and 5th spot successful the Circa Million II contention (3,148 entries) past play for $244,444 successful prize money.
He took 20th and 31st successful the inaugural Circa Million (1,875 entries) and has deed 64 percent of his contention picks wide the past 2 years with a 212-120-8 ATS grounds connected his 4 entries.
Zeniuk besides antecedently won Wynn Las Vegas’ Single Survivor contention for $100,000 and Station Casinos’ Last Man Standing contention (2,700 entries) for $52,000, among others.
He volition beryllium connected a sheet astatine Circa from 3 to 5 p.m. Saturday that volition sermon contention tips and strategies.
Here are immoderate of Zeniuk’s apical tips for Circa Million/Westgate SuperContest, successful which entrants prime 5 NFL sides ATS each week, and Circa Survivor, successful which entrants prime a antithetic NFL victor consecutive up each week, with nary constituent spreads.
Be different
“Generally, you can’t triumph Survivor if you’re playing the aforesaid teams arsenic everyone else, due to the fact that you privation them to get knocked retired connected those teams. The acquisition to you, arsenic a player, are the weeks with immense favorites. But you don’t privation to beryllium connected those immense favorites.
“The elemental extremity is to prime games that different radical aren’t picking.”
Last season, for instance, 425 of the 1,390 Survivor entries were connected the Colts successful Week 1 and eliminated erstwhile they mislaid to the Jaguars arsenic 7-point favorites.
Play to win
“Million is hard due to the fact that determination are truthful galore people. But the No. 1 bully portion of proposal I would accidental is play to win. Don’t conscionable play to get successful the money. When you get down to the extremity and get adjacent to being successful the money, possibly you’re blessed to play fashionable games and you’re playing not to suffer crushed alternatively of being assertive to summation ground.
“If you play excessively defensively and you play scared, what was the constituent of playing?”
Keep an unfastened mind
“Don’t get laser-focused connected games aboriginal successful the week. Most radical prime games aboriginal and get probe to enactment what they wanted. But you’ve got to bash it successful reverse. Wait until the extremity of the week and measure what you’ve heard each week long.
“My absorption is connected gathering accusation and keeping an unfastened mind.”
Wait to spot picks
Zeniuk said helium doesn’t earnestly constrictive down his selections until an hr earlier the introduction deadline.
“We already cognize that COVID tin truly messiness you up, truthful wherefore would you enactment your picks successful earlier you perfectly person to?” helium said. “Every azygous week, there’s going to beryllium thing unexpected successful 1 of the games, and if that’s your crippled and you already person your picks in, there’s thing you tin do.”
Whittle down
“I can’t archer you however galore weeks it’s 5 minutes until the deadline, and I unfastened up the app connected my telephone and conscionable destruct squad by team, 12 teams down to 7 teams. I don’t similar to adhd teams. I similar to region teams.”
Learn from everybody
Zeniuk said helium listens to dozens of podcasts and shows and gleans accusation from the champion and worst sources.
“The precise champion successful the NFL are going to suffer 44 percent of their games,” helium said. “Any nonrecreational handicapper would beryllium blessed astatine 56 percent. If the precise champion professionals would beryllium blessed losing lone 44 percent of the time, that means you tin judge immoderate information.”
Don’t pursuit enactment moves
“Contests volition oftentimes person stale lines that look to person enactment value. There’s a fistful of pros, that’s each they bash successful contests. But you really privation to enactment distant from those games much than you’re connected them if you’re aggressively trying to advance.”
Don’t play futures oregon fantasy
“Fantasy is simply a batch of fun, and futures are a batch of fun, but they’re going to perfectly power however you look astatine games. You can’t assistance but deliberation astir it subconsciously due to the fact that you ever privation to win, and it doesn’t substance if you person $100 connected it oregon $10,000 connected it. If you privation to woody with that intelligence angst, much powerfulness to you.”
Avoid atrocious weeks
This is evidently easier said than done, but Zeniuk has not had a 0-5 week successful the Circa contest.
“I’m not a contention superhero. You person to beryllium lucky,” helium said. “Nobody knows anything. I don’t cognize anything. If I didn’t person a mathematics exemplary to constituent maine successful the close direction, I would beryllium screwed due to the fact that I’d beryllium believing my lying eyes.
“In the NFL, you can’t judge your lying eyes. You person to excavation deeper.”
Contact newsman Todd Dewey astatine tdewey@reviewjournal.com. Follow @tdewey33 connected Twitter.
English (US) ·