Alabama has been favored successful 92 consecutive games and 164 of 165 dating to 2009.
Those streaks volition travel to an extremity successful Saturday’s Southeastern Conference shot title crippled against Georgia.
The No. 1 Bulldogs (12-0) are 6½-point favorites implicit the No. 3 Crimson Tide (11-1) aft the enactment opened astatine 3 connected Nov. 15 astatine Circa Sports, which took aggregate crisp bets connected Georgia.
“Big bets from a mates weeks agone connected the opener of Georgia -3, past we rewrote immoderate bounds enactment -6 erstwhile we reopened it this past Sunday,” Circa sportsbook manager Matthew Metcalf said successful a text. “Some nibbles connected the Bama wealth enactment astatine +220.”
The past 2 times Alabama was an underdog, the Crimson Tide rolled, crushing Georgia 38-10 arsenic a 1-point ’dog successful 2015 and whipping Florida 32-13 arsenic a 5-point ’dog successful the 2009 SEC rubric game.
Alabama enters connected a 1-3 ATS skid and escaped with a 24-22 triumph implicit Auburn past week successful 4 overtimes.
Sharps and the betting nationalist are fading the Tide. So is nonrecreational sports bettor Paul Stone, who noted that Alabama has 4 SEC wins by 7 points oregon less this play aft sweating lone 3 specified wins successful the erstwhile six seasons combined.
‘Mere mortals’
“That doesn’t adjacent see the Tide’s midseason nonaccomplishment astatine Texas A&M,” said Stone (@paulstonesports). “Alabama, this season, has benignant of been specified mortals. Georgia, connected the different hand, has played beauteous overmuch lights retired and is the wide No. 1 team.”
The Bulldogs pb the federation successful scoring defence by a wide margin, allowing 6.92 points per game, and hasn’t fixed up much than 17 points successful a game.
“Georgia is conscionable caput and shoulders supra everybody this year,” Westgate SuperBook vice president of hazard Ed Salmons said. “They haven’t been challenged.”
Since defeating Clemson 10-3 successful the play opener, Georgia has beaten each hostile by 17 points oregon more.
Alabama mightiness beryllium missing starring rusher Brian Robinson Jr., who is questionable with a pulled muscle.
“The Tide is hurting,” Stone said. “It’s conscionable not the aforesaid Alabama team, and it’s not the aforesaid offense.
“It conscionable seems similar it’s Georgia’s time. I got them astatine -4, and I tin inactive urge them astatine 6½.”
Salmons besides stake the Bulldogs -4 and recommends a play connected the Tide if the enactment reaches 7.
“You’re going to spot Alabama’s champion shot,” helium said. “Is that capable to bushed Georgia? Probably not. But Alabama volition astir apt support the crippled determination tenable wherever they’ll cover. If you get 7 oregon 7½, you person to instrumentality a changeable connected Alabama.”
Sharp bettors person been each implicit the under, driving the full from 54½ to 49½.
“It doesn’t consciousness similar a shootout game,” Salmons said.
Here are 3 different plays from Stone and Salmons:
Western Kentucky-Texas-San Antonio (Over 72½), Friday
The Conference USA foes combined for 98 points Oct. 9 successful Texas-San Antonio’s 52-46 triumph implicit Western Kentucky.
“They tin person 3 touchdowns little scored and inactive get the money,” Stone said. “I don’t typically similar to instrumentality totals implicit 70 successful assemblage football. But some these teams play highly fast, and the crippled volition beryllium played indoors.”
Oregon (+3) implicit Utah, Friday
Salmons expects the Ducks to avenge their 38-7 nonaccomplishment astatine Utah connected Nov. 20 and triumph their 3rd consecutive Pac-12 rubric game.
“These teams are precise similar, and present you get the squad that was blown out, and they are motivated and getting 3 points,” helium said. “And they person a past of winning Pac-12 rubric games.”
Houston (+10½) implicit Cincinnati, Saturday
The Cougars person won 11 consecutive games aft losing their play opener to Texas Tech and tin spoil the No. 4 Bearcats’ bid for a spot successful the College Football Playoff.
“Cincinnati knows if they win, they’re in. No margin. Just win. So present they’ve got a ton of unit connected them,” Salmons said. “Houston is benignant of an underrated squad due to the fact that Cincinnati is successful that conference. This is their accidental to fundamentally spell connected a nationalist signifier and amusement them what they’ve got.”
Contact newsman Todd Dewey astatine tdewey@reviewjournal.com. Follow @tdewey33 connected Twitter.